Global Investment Views - June 2023
Over the last month, markets lacked a clear direction owing to US banking sector stress, uncertainty regarding the US debt ceiling, and signs of economic deceleration amid tightening of credit conditions.
Tuesday 22 June 2021
Global Investment View
The waters look to have remained calm in financial markets, despite the hot numbers coming from the real economy. Although we view the outlook as generally positive, the larger economies are at different stages in their journeys towards peak acceleration. Europe and some EM still have some room to go in this respect. But what all regions have in common is rising pressures on input and producer prices amid supply-chain disruptions, and inflation figures trending firmly higher. Strong undercurrents could make the environment far less safe than it seems...
Over the last month, markets lacked a clear direction owing to US banking sector stress, uncertainty regarding the US debt ceiling, and signs of economic deceleration amid tightening of credit conditions.
The broader equity markets have digested the March turmoil, but the disruption continues to be evident in the US regional banking sector, which is not showing signs of recovery.
March brought a wake-up call to markets after a complacent start to the year. The trigger was the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and other US regional banks, followed by Credit Suisse in Europe.