22/07/2024
Investment Talks
Biden's exit from the presidential race opens a phase of uncertainty
Market reaction to Biden's announcement has been muted at the time of writing, with a fall in the US dollar in early trading on Monday (July 22nd), a marginal movement in 10-year US Treasuries, and an upward trend in equity futures. In terms of the implications on markets, the election outcome is still highly uncertain. It is too early to define a potential "Harris trade," but even to have a specific trading strategy for a potential Trump 2.0 administration, as there is ideological uncertainty regarding its goals and policies. There are also significant ideological clashes that the Trump administration would need to address, such as the approach towards China, inflation, tariffs, fiscal expansion and the desire for a weaker dollar.
